2022 SD Governor Race2

The 2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, electing the governor of South Dakota. Incumbent Republican governor Kristi Noem defeated Democratic nominee Jamie Smith to win a second term.^[1]

Despite speculation about this race potentially being competitive, Noem improved on her 2018 performance by 11 percentage points and flipped 17 counties that had been won by Billie Sutton. She also received over 44,000 more raw votes than she did in the previous election, setting a record for the most votes received by a candidate for governor in South Dakota.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Kristi Noem, incumbent governor^[2]
- Running mate: Larry Rhoden, incumbent lieutenant governor^[3]

Eliminated in primary

Steven Haugaard, state representative and former Speaker of the South Dakota House of Representatives^[4]

Declined

Lora Hubbel, former state representative, former chair of the Minnehaha County Republican Party and the South Dakota Constitution Party, and candidate for governor in 2014 and 2018^[5] (running as an independent)
Mark Mickelson, former Speaker of the South Dakota House of Representatives^[6]

Endorsements

Kristi Noem

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)^[7]

U.S. representatives

Dusty Johnson, U.S. representative from South Dakota's at-large congressional district (2019–present)^[8]

State officials

Marty Jackley, former attorney general of South Dakota (2009–2019) and candidate for Governor of South Dakota in 2018^[9]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Steven Haugaard	Kristi Noem	Undecided
South Dakota State University^[10]	May 2–15, 2022	– (LV)	± 3.0%	17%	61%	22%

Results

Republican primary results^[11]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Kristi Noem (incumbent)	91,661	76.4
	Republican	Steven Haugaard	28,315	23.6
Total votes			119,976	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Jamie Smith, Minority Leader of the South Dakota House of Representatives^[12]
- Running mate: Jennifer Healy Keintz, state representative^[13]

Declined

Dan Ahlers, former state representative and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020^[14]
Remi Bald Eagle, former official for the Cheyenne River Sioux Tribe and nominee for the South Dakota Public Utilities Commission in 2020^[15]
Kooper Caraway, president of the South Dakota Federation of Labor^[16]
Troy Heinert, Minority Leader of the South Dakota Senate^[17]
Steve Hildebrand, political strategist^[14]
Mike Huether, former mayor of Sioux Falls^[14]
Brendan Johnson, former U.S. Attorney for the District of South Dakota and son of former U.S. Senator Tim Johnson^[18]
Peri Pourier, state representative^[15]
Stephanie Herseth Sandlin, president of Augustana University and former U.S. Representative for South Dakota's at-large congressional district^[18]
Randy Seiler, chair of the South Dakota Democratic Party, former U.S. Attorney for the District of South Dakota, and nominee for attorney general in 2018^[19]
Billie Sutton, former Minority Leader of the South Dakota Senate and nominee for governor in 2018^[20]
Bob Sutton, businessman^[14]

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

Tracey Quint, coordinator^[21]
- Running mate: Ashley Strand^[22]

Independents

Candidates

Withdrew

Lora Hubbel, former state representative, former chair of the Minnehaha County Republican Party and the South Dakota Constitution Party, and candidate for governor in 2014 and 2018^[5] (running for State Senate)^[22]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[23]	Solid R	March 4, 2022
Inside Elections^[24]	Solid R	March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[25]	Safe R	January 26, 2022
Politico^[26]	Likely R	October 3, 2022
RCP^[27]	Likely R	September 25, 2022
Fox News^[28]	Solid R	May 12, 2022
538^[29]	Solid R	October 5, 2022
Elections Daily^[30]	Safe R	November 7, 2022

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Kristi Noem (R)	Jamie Smith (D)	Other	Undecided
Emerson College^[31]	October 19–21, 2022	1,500 (LV)	± 2.4%	56%	37%	3%^[b]	4%
Emerson College^[31]	October 19–21, 2022	1,500 (LV)	± 2.4%	57%	39%	4%^[c]	–
South Dakota State University^[32]	September 28 – October 10, 2022	565 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	41%	–	14%

Endorsements

Kristi Noem (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)^[7]

U.S. representatives

Tulsi Gabbard, U.S. representative from Hawaii's 2nd congressional district (2013–2021) (Independent)^[33]
Dusty Johnson, U.S. representative from South Dakota's at-large congressional district (2019–present)^[8]

Statewide officials

Marty Jackley, former attorney general of South Dakota (2009–2019) and candidate for Governor of South Dakota in 2018^[9]
Glenn Youngkin, Governor of Virginia (2022–present)^[34]

Organizations

Results

2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election^[37]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Kristi Noem (incumbent) Larry Rhoden (incumbent)	217,035	61.98%	+11.01%
	Democratic	Jamie Smith Jennifer Healy Keintz	123,148	35.17%	−12.43%
	Libertarian	Tracey Quint Ashley Strand	9,983	2.85%	+1.42%
Total votes			350,166	100.00%	N/A
Turnout			350,166	59.40%
Registered electors			597,073
	Republican hold

By county

County	Kristi Noem Republican		Jamie Smith Democratic		Tracey Quint Libertarian		Total votes
County	%	#	%	#	%	#	Total votes
Aurora	73.64%	894	23.39%	284	2.97%	36	1,214
Beadle	66.84%	3,901	29.40%	1,716	3.75%	219	5,836
Bennett	60.39%	619	35.90%	368	3.71%	38	1,025
Bon Homme	72.52%	1,858	25.37%	650	2.11%	54	2,562
Brookings	56.12%	6,974	41.01%	5,096	2.87%	357	12,427
Brown	60.56%	8,456	37.00%	5,167	2.44%	341	13,964
Brule	69.37%	1,463	27.93%	589	2.70%	57	2,109
Buffalo	36.27%	144	58.94%	234	4.79%	19	397
Butte	76.71%	3,211	19.66%	823	3.63%	152	4,186
Campbell	84.11%	561	13.94%	93	1.95%	13	667
Charles Mix	70.75%	2,187	27.47%	849	1.78%	55	3,091
Clark	76.44%	1,223	21.31%	341	2.25%	36	1,600
Clay	43.29%	2,054	54.39%	2,581	2.32%	110	4,745
Codington	67.87%	7,520	29.36%	3,253	2.77%	307	11,080
Corson	56.25%	522	40.84%	379	2.91%	27	928
Custer	71.56%	3,633	25.47%	1,293	2.97%	151	5,077
Davison	67.51%	4,887	30.10%	2,179	2.39%	173	7,239
Day	63.43%	1,599	34.75%	876	1.82%	46	2,521
Deuel	74.28%	1,479	23.00%	458	2.71%	54	1,991
Dewey	42.06%	662	54.76%	862	3.18%	50	1,574
Douglas	85.71%	1,272	12.67%	188	1.62%	24	1,484
Edmunds	77.66%	1,321	20.34%	346	2.00%	34	1,701
Fall River	73.04%	2,679	23.42%	859	3.54%	130	3,668
Faulk	80.73%	771	17.49%	167	1.78%	17	955
Grant	72.41%	2,328	25.82%	830	1.77%	57	3,215
Gregory	78.77%	1,618	19.13%	393	2.09%	43	2,054
Haakon	90.37%	892	8.31%	82	1.32%	13	987
Hamlin	77.58%	2,118	20.07%	548	2.34%	64	2,730
Hand	78.36%	1,177	19.31%	290	2.33%	35	1,502
Hanson	77.63%	1,267	20.59%	336	1.78%	29	1,632
Harding	93.35%	632	4.87%	33	1.77%	12	677
Hughes	61.38%	4,571	35.61%	2,652	3.01%	224	7,447
Hutchinson	78.99%	2,507	19.03%	604	1.98%	63	3,174
Hyde	80.00%	460	18.43%	106	1.57%	9	575
Jackson	67.79%	623	30.47%	280	1.74%	16	919
Jerauld	69.75%	604	27.48%	238	2.77%	24	866
Jones	83.69%	395	13.56%	64	2.75%	13	472
Kingsbury	70.25%	1,792	27.13%	692	2.63%	67	2,551
Lake	63.05%	3,131	34.64%	1,720	2.31%	115	4,966
Lawrence	63.27%	7,749	33.00%	4,041	3.72%	456	12,247
Lincoln	59.76%	16,828	38.09%	10,727	2.15%	606	28,161
Lyman	66.69%	879	30.73%	405	2.58	34	1,318
Marshall	59.42%	1,123	38.99%	737	1.59%	30	1,890
McCook	72.67%	1,851	24.54%	625	2.79%	71	2,547
McPherson	82.82%	911	15.18%	167	2.00%	22	1,100
Meade	71.46%	8,482	24.32%	2,887	4.22%	501	11,870
Mellette	61.27%	386	33.97%	214	4.76%	30	630
Miner	72.69%	732	24.63%	248	2.68%	27	1,007
Minnehaha	52.53%	39,234	44.69%	33,376	2.77%	2,072	74,682
Moody	62.97%	1,668	34.35%	910	2.68%	71	2,649
Oglala Lakota	8.91%	221	87.58%	2,172	3.51%	87	2,480
Pennington	60.78%	27,586	35.73%	16,215	3.49%	1,587	45,388
Perkins	83.24%	1,142	12.90%	177	3.86%	53	1,372
Potter	81.16%	892	17.02%	187	1.82%	20	1,099
Roberts	60.70%	2,164	36.89%	1,315	2.41%	86	3,565
Sanborn	75.40%	757	22.51%	226	2.09%	21	1,004
Spink	68.61%	1,832	28.65%	765	2.73%	73	2,670
Stanley	69.04%	999	28.13%	407	2.83%	41	1,447
Sully	75.76%	597	21.45%	169	2.79%	22	788
Todd	20.87%	402	74.97%	1,444	4.15%	80	1,926
Tripp	82.58%	1,873	16.05%	364	1.37%	31	2,268
Turner	73.32%	2,834	23.78%	919	2.90%	112	3,865
Union	70.07%	4,723	27.42%	1,848	2.51%	169	6,740
Walworth	76.62%	1,573	20.94%	430	2.44%	50	2,053
Yankton	58.89%	5,247	37.60%	3,350	3.51%	313	8,910
Ziebach	50.51%	345	44.51%	304	4.98%	34	683
Total	61.98%	217,035	35.17%	123,148	2.85%	9,983	350,166

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Bon Homme (largest city: Springfield)
Brookings (largest city: Brookings)
Brown (largest city: Aberdeen)
Charles Mix (largest city: Lake Andes)
Corson (largest city: McLaughlin)
Day (largest city: Webster)
Hughes (largest city: Pierre)
Lake (largest city: Madison)
Marshall (largest city: Britton)
Mellette (largest city: White River)
Miner (largest city: Howard)
Minnehaha (largest city: Sioux Falls)
Moody (largest city: Flandreau)
Roberts (largest city: Sisseton)
Spink (largest city: Redfield)
Yankton (largest city: Yankton)
Ziebach (largest city: Dupree)

Notes

^ ^a ^b Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
^ Quint (L) with 3%
^ Quint (L) with 4%

References

^ Mueller, Julia (November 8, 2022). "Noem wins reelection in South Dakota governor's race". The Hill. Retrieved November 8, 2022.
^ Todd, Annie (November 12, 2021). "South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem announces re-election campaign for 2022 election". Argus Leader. Retrieved November 12, 2021.
^ Ellis, Jonathan (May 24, 2022) [May 23, 2022]. "Gov. Kristi Noem's reelection campaign says it has raised $15 million". Argus Leader. Retrieved August 5, 2022.
^ King, Ryan (November 17, 2021). "Gov. Kristi Noem gets primary challenge from the Right in former state speaker". Washington Examiner. Retrieved November 18, 2021.
^ ^a ^b "Former state Rep. Lora Hubbel running for governor again".
^ Lawrence, Tom (February 15, 2021). "Can Noem be defeated in 2022? History says not a chance ... but her actions as governor could change things". The South Dakota Standard. Retrieved February 15, 2021.
^ ^a ^b Sneve, Joe. "South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem gets endorsement from Donald Trump". www.argusleader.com. Argus Leader. Retrieved February 9, 2022.
^ ^a ^b "Governor Kristi Noem and Congressman Dusty Johnson hitting door-to-door this weekend". dakotawarcollege.com. June 4, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
^ ^a ^b "Former political rivals Noem & Jackley endorse each other for upcoming elections". www.dakotanewsnow.com. February 17, 2022. Retrieved February 24, 2022.
^ South Dakota State University
^ "2022 Primary Election Official State Canvass Results" (PDF). Secretary of State of South Dakota. June 14, 2022. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
^ Sneve, Joe. "Democrat Jamie Smith to run for governor in 2022 election". www.argusleader.com. Argus Leader. Retrieved February 2, 2022.
^ Sneve, Joe (July 7, 2022). "Jamie Smith taps Aberdeen-area lawmaker as running mate on Democratic ticket for governor". Argus Leader. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d Sneve, Joe (June 9, 2021). "Analysis: Who will challenge Gov. Kristi Noem in South Dakota's 2022 election? Here are potential candidates". Argus Leader. Retrieved June 20, 2021.
^ ^a ^b Vondracek, Christopher (June 9, 2021). "A party waits for Billie Sutton: South Dakota Democrats mull if former legislator will force a '22 rematch with Gov. Noem". www.thedickinsonpress.com. The Dickinson Press. Retrieved November 26, 2021.
^ Mercer, Bob (June 18, 2018). "Democrats favor Seiler over Means". Capitol Journal. Retrieved January 11, 2021.
^ "South Dakota Minority Leader Heinert passes on run for Governor, joining private sector after term". December 16, 2021.
^ ^a ^b Lawrence, Tom (November 29, 2020). "Is it just a South Dakota political legend or eerie fate: Will Sen. John Thune end the 'Curse of Karl' in 2022?". The South Dakota Standard. Archived from the original on January 8, 2022. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
^ Lawrence, Tom (January 29, 2022). "Democrats set to announce gubernatorial candidate". Black Hills Pioneer. Retrieved January 29, 2022.
^ Woster, Kevin (February 23, 2022). "Sutton's political time will come again, but not just yet". South Dakota Public Broadcasting. Retrieved March 5, 2022.
^ "Libertarian House candidate, Sturgis rancher Collin Duprel: I am running to give South Dakota voters a choice". Archived from the original on July 23, 2022. Retrieved July 23, 2022.
^ ^a ^b "2022 General Election". South Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved March 18, 2022.
^ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
^ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
^ "South Dakota Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
^ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
^ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
^ Emerson College
^ South Dakota State University
^ "Glenn Youngkin, Tulsi Gabbard to campaign for South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem". October 28, 2022.
^ "Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin to stump for Gov. Kristi Noem's reelection campaign in Sioux Falls".
^ "South Dakota Grades & Endorsements". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 15, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
^ ^a ^b "Kristi Noem's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
^ "2022 General Election Official State Canvass Results" (PDF). sdsos.gov.

External links

Official campaign websites

Kristi Noem (R) for Governor
Tracey Quint (L) for Governor Archived August 8, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
Jamie Smith (D) for Governor Archived February 24, 2022, at the Wayback Machine

[Key-10] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[33] Quint (L) with 3%

[34] Quint (L) with 4%

[mj-called-race-1] Mueller, Julia (November 8, 2022). "Noem wins reelection in South Dakota governor's race". The Hill. Retrieved November 8, 2022.

[2] Todd, Annie (November 12, 2021). "South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem announces re-election campaign for 2022 election". Argus Leader. Retrieved November 12, 2021.

[3] Ellis, Jonathan (May 24, 2022) [May 23, 2022]. "Gov. Kristi Noem's reelection campaign says it has raised $15 million". Argus Leader. Retrieved August 5, 2022.

[4] King, Ryan (November 17, 2021). "Gov. Kristi Noem gets primary challenge from the Right in former state speaker". Washington Examiner. Retrieved November 18, 2021.

[LoraRunning-5] "Former state Rep. Lora Hubbel running for governor again".

[6] Lawrence, Tom (February 15, 2021). "Can Noem be defeated in 2022? History says not a chance ... but her actions as governor could change things". The South Dakota Standard. Retrieved February 15, 2021.

[Argus_Leader-7] Sneve, Joe. "South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem gets endorsement from Donald Trump". www.argusleader.com. Argus Leader. Retrieved February 9, 2022.

[Johnson-Noem-8] "Governor Kristi Noem and Congressman Dusty Johnson hitting door-to-door this weekend". dakotawarcollege.com. June 4, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.

[dakotanewsnow.com-9] "Former political rivals Noem & Jackley endorse each other for upcoming elections". www.dakotanewsnow.com. February 17, 2022. Retrieved February 24, 2022.

[11] South Dakota State University

[12] "2022 Primary Election Official State Canvass Results" (PDF). Secretary of State of South Dakota. June 14, 2022. Retrieved August 4, 2022.

[SD-13] Sneve, Joe. "Democrat Jamie Smith to run for governor in 2022 election". www.argusleader.com. Argus Leader. Retrieved February 2, 2022.

[14] Sneve, Joe (July 7, 2022). "Jamie Smith taps Aberdeen-area lawmaker as running mate on Democratic ticket for governor". Argus Leader. Retrieved August 4, 2022.

[Potential-15] Sneve, Joe (June 9, 2021). "Analysis: Who will challenge Gov. Kristi Noem in South Dakota's 2022 election? Here are potential candidates". Argus Leader. Retrieved June 20, 2021.

[DP-Sutton-16] Vondracek, Christopher (June 9, 2021). "A party waits for Billie Sutton: South Dakota Democrats mull if former legislator will force a '22 rematch with Gov. Noem". www.thedickinsonpress.com. The Dickinson Press. Retrieved November 26, 2021.

[17] Mercer, Bob (June 18, 2018). "Democrats favor Seiler over Means". Capitol Journal. Retrieved January 11, 2021.

[18] "South Dakota Minority Leader Heinert passes on run for Governor, joining private sector after term". December 16, 2021.

[SDSNov-19] Lawrence, Tom (November 29, 2020). "Is it just a South Dakota political legend or eerie fate: Will Sen. John Thune end the 'Curse of Karl' in 2022?". The South Dakota Standard. Archived from the original on January 8, 2022. Retrieved January 18, 2021.

[SD-Gov-20] Lawrence, Tom (January 29, 2022). "Democrats set to announce gubernatorial candidate". Black Hills Pioneer. Retrieved January 29, 2022.

[21] Woster, Kevin (February 23, 2022). "Sutton's political time will come again, but not just yet". South Dakota Public Broadcasting. Retrieved March 5, 2022.

[22] "Libertarian House candidate, Sturgis rancher Collin Duprel: I am running to give South Dakota voters a choice". Archived from the original on July 23, 2022. Retrieved July 23, 2022.

[candfilings-23] "2022 General Election". South Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved March 18, 2022.

[Cook_PR-24] "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.

[Inside_Elections-25] "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.

[Sabato's_Crystal_Ball-26] "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.

[Politico-27] "South Dakota Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.

[28] "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.

[Fox_News-29] "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.

[FiveThirtyEight-30] "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.

[Elections_Daily-31] Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.

[32] Emerson College

[35] South Dakota State University

[36] "Glenn Youngkin, Tulsi Gabbard to campaign for South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem". October 28, 2022.

[37] "Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin to stump for Gov. Kristi Noem's reelection campaign in Sioux Falls".

[NRAPVF-38] "South Dakota Grades & Endorsements". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 15, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)

[Vote_Smart-39] "Kristi Noem's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 27, 2022.

[40] "2022 General Election Official State Canvass Results" (PDF). sdsos.gov.

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Statewide	Alabama Alaska American Samoa Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Guam Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Northern Mariana Islands Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas U.S. Virgin Islands Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
Other	ballot measures

2022 SD Governor Race2

Summary

About

Predictions

Web Links

Kristi Noem

Jamie Smith

Wikipedia

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

Independents

Candidates

Withdrew

General election

Predictions

Polling

Endorsements

Results

By county

See also

Notes

References

External links

Discuss